作者：陈天庆、张连刚、文枚、袁伟、林文月

题名：Can the development of agricultural insurance promote the resilience of agricultural economy? The dynamic mechanisms of the digital economy development

农业保险发展能否促进农业经济韧性？数字经济发展的动力机制

期刊：《International Review of Economics and Finance》2025,103:104386

摘要：This paper relies on provincial panel data from China spanning 2009 to 2023 to verify whether the development of agricultural insurance can promote agricultural economic resilience and analyzes the dynamic mechanisms of the development of the digital economy. Empirical analysis results indicate that the development of agricultural insurance significantly enhances agricultural economic resilience; the digital economy plays a significant moderating role in the relationship between the development of agricultural insurance and agricultural economic resilience; the impact of agricultural insurance development on agricultural economic resilience exhibits heterogeneity across different regions; and there exists a threshold effect of population size on the impact of agricultural insurance development on agricultural economic resilience.

本文利用2009 – 2023年中国省级面板数据，验证农业保险发展是否能促进农业经济韧性，并分析了数字经济发展的动力机制。实证分析结果表明，农业保险发展显著增强了农业经济韧性；数字经济在农业保险发展对农业经济韧性影响中具有显著的调节作用；农业保险发展对农业经济韧性的影响在不同地区呈现异质性；人口规模对农业保险发展对农业经济韧性的影响存在门槛效应。

关键词：Agricultural insurance development；Digital economy development；Agricultural economic resilience

农业保险发展；数字经济发展；农业经济韧性